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Old 08-16-2003, 06:35 AM
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CAPES stands for Convective Activity Potential Energy.

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SYNOPSIS...
AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA WEAKENS...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL BECOME ENHANCED OVER NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.PRIMARY HAZARD...
THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS. OTHERWISE...LIGHTNING AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED. THE BEST TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA. CAPES OF
1500 TO 2500 ARE EXPECTED. WEAK SHORT WAVE ENERGY WILL ALSO AFFECT
THE AREA. THIS WILL CAUSE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP LATER TODAY...AND INTO THE NIGHT TIME HOURS. HOWEVER...DUE
TO LITTLE CHANGE OF THE WINDS WITH HEIGHT...ONLY ISOLATED STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE.

.OTHER HAZARDOUS...
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE SLOWLY.
THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASED POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING.
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