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43Likes
01-23-2022, 09:21 AM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jan 2022
Cobra Make, Engine:
Posts: 3
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Not Ranked
Extreme depreciation?
Is the current Backdraft market extremely soft?
I'm about to buy a new build for around 85k amd I was doing some research on prices. Outside of the kissimmee mecum prices which were outrageous, I'm seeing used backdraft going for 60k with less than a thousand miles on them. And anything more is about 30k. Several around 12k.
These cars are listed on trovit when you search Backdraft.
Going from 95k at some places to 30k seems like the highest depreciation in five years I've ever heard of.
Is this just how it is for Backdrafts?
What am I missing on these trovit cars?
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01-23-2022, 10:00 AM
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Senior Club Cobra Member
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Join Date: Mar 2000
Location: St. Augustine,
FL
Cobra Make, Engine: E-M / Power Performance / 521 stroker / Holley HP EFI
Posts: 1,929
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Not Ranked
Maraud,
Quote:
What am I missing on these trovit cars?
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Possibly what you may not be aware of is that trovit is a site that contains highly questionable information.
Tom
__________________
Wells's law of engine size: If it matters what gear you're in, the engine's too small!
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01-23-2022, 11:10 AM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jan 2022
Cobra Make, Engine:
Posts: 3
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Not Ranked
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Wells
Maraud,
Possibly what you may not be aware of is that trovit is a site that contains highly questionable information.
Tom
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So something akin to how C8's are being listed at MSRP everywhere on some sites despite them not existing when you call? So I should be confirming whatever is on there against an actual listing somewhere.
Fair enough.
What do you think a 2-3 year old backdraft with say 4000 miles on it would be worth if it had a ford racing 427. Total ballpark. I mean like 60ish or more like 30ish?
Part of buying involves me trying to determine the market within some reasonable level. I know it's not possible to get it perfect.
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01-23-2022, 11:53 AM
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Senior CC Premier Member
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Join Date: Nov 2015
Location: Bellevue,
WA
Cobra Make, Engine: Everett-Morrison 514, Toploader 4 sp, Jag IRS
Posts: 278
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Not Ranked
You can go to Bring A Trailer, look up Auctions, then Results, then scroll down a bit to the Completed Auctions 'Search Archive' text entry box, type Backdraft, then enter, and see actual sales prices of recent Backdrafts of different configurations. The prices that reflect 'Sold for' are actual sales, the prices that reflect 'Bid to' reflect the highest bid that did not meet reserve so not an actual sale price, so assume the actual value is something higher than the 'Bid to' amount on those. Best of luck. Brent
Last edited by EM-0785; 01-23-2022 at 11:59 AM..
Reason: Add sentence
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01-23-2022, 11:57 AM
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CC Member/Contributor
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Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Greenville,
SC
Cobra Make, Engine: 70 Shelby convertible, ERA-289 FIA, 65 Sunbeam Tiger, mystery Ford powered 2dr convertible
Posts: 12,701
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Not Ranked
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marauderfh
Is the current Backdraft market extremely soft?
I'm about to buy a new build for around 85k amd I was doing some research on prices. Outside of the kissimmee mecum prices which were outrageous, I'm seeing used backdraft going for 60k with less than a thousand miles on them. And anything more is about 30k. Several around 12k.
These cars are listed on trovit when you search Backdraft.
Going from 95k at some places to 30k seems like the highest depreciation in five years I've ever heard of.
Is this just how it is for Backdrafts?
What am I missing on these trovit cars?
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As with anything else, buying a Cobra replica, new or used, should be treated not as an investment, but as a toy you want to have. Depreciation, absolutely. to the extent that you show above, not likely. Just figure as soon as your sign the paperwork and take possession, you have lost 20%, as they continue to build new ones, your older build will depreciate further. How much further depends on your specific cars specifications. Interior color, exterior color, rims, tires, drivetrain will all affect your cars specific depreciation and ultimate value upon resale.
Bill S.
__________________
Instead of being part of the problem, be part of a successful solution.
First time Cobra buyers-READ THIS
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01-23-2022, 12:20 PM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jan 2011
Cobra Make, Engine: Hi-Tech
Posts: 734
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Not Ranked
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01-23-2022, 12:54 PM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Dec 2021
Location: Gallatin,
TN
Cobra Make, Engine: Backdraft Build 496 Roush 402R Sterling Gray with Silver Stripes
Posts: 20
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Not Ranked
#1325 in that link had multiple buyers within a few hrs, I was not 1st or 2nd in line so I missed out.
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01-23-2022, 01:52 PM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Las Vegas,
NV
Cobra Make, Engine: Shelby CSX4005LA, Roush 427IR
Posts: 5,584
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Not Ranked
An 85K Backdraft? Rather than thinking the 40 or 50K cars are depreciated I'm of the opinion that the 85K car is over inflated and will have a major depreciation reset when reality finally returns.
For 85K you'd just as well jump up to a Superformance or ERA and get something that will at least hold its value.
Cars are not an investment.
__________________
Cheers,
Tony
CSX4005LA
Last edited by twobjshelbys; 01-23-2022 at 02:02 PM..
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01-23-2022, 02:01 PM
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Half-Ass Member
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Cobra Make, Engine: ERA #732, 428FE (447 CID), TKO600, Solid Flat Tappet Cam, Tons of Aluminum
Posts: 22,005
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Not Ranked
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marauderfh
Going from 95k at some places to 30k seems like the highest depreciation in five years I've ever heard of.
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I look at it this way: I bought my ERA over 15 years ago and, at that time, Peter told me I could never sell it. Even if he hadn't said that, I still would never sell it. So how much is something worth that you can't, and would never, sell? Arguably, nothing. So that's a 100% depreciation and my car is essentially worthless. The Cobra hobby basically sucks as an investment. You should avoid it.
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01-23-2022, 04:05 PM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jan 2022
Cobra Make, Engine:
Posts: 3
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Not Ranked
Quote:
Originally Posted by twobjshelbys
An 85K Backdraft? Rather than thinking the 40 or 50K cars are depreciated I'm of the opinion that the 85K car is over inflated and will have a major depreciation reset when reality finally returns.
For 85K you'd just as well jump up to a Superformance or ERA and get something that will at least hold its value.
Cars are not an investment.
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Yeah I assume though with an installed drivetrain it would be hard to find a new one for less than this.
And yes it makes the most sense to be the second owner.
Being a trailer does seem to give the full story. And bdr has definitely gone up in value the last two years.
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01-23-2022, 04:34 PM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: White City,
SK
Cobra Make, Engine: West Coast, 460 CID
Posts: 2,908
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Not Ranked
Quote:
Originally Posted by EM-0785
You can go to Bring A Trailer, look up Auctions, then Results, then scroll down a bit to the Completed Auctions 'Search Archive' text entry box, type Backdraft, then enter, and see actual sales prices of recent Backdrafts of different configurations. The prices that reflect 'Sold for' are actual sales, the prices that reflect 'Bid to' reflect the highest bid that did not meet reserve so not an actual sale price, so assume the actual value is something higher than the 'Bid to' amount on those. Best of luck. Brent
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Like this: https://bringatrailer.com/auctions/r...arch=backdraft
As of when I posted this there were 21 completed auctions. Scroll down the page about half way and you'll see them.
__________________
Brian
Last edited by cycleguy55; 01-23-2022 at 04:40 PM..
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01-23-2022, 09:47 PM
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CC Member/Contributor
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Join Date: Sep 2016
Location: (Beautiful) Sequim,
WA
Cobra Make, Engine: Pacific Roadster, 347 cu.in. 5-speed
Posts: 2,001
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Not Ranked
A lot of first time Cobra owners buy with their Heart, and not their heads. Now with our kind of cars, that's sometimes hard to do (each is basically a one-off) and they all are "Cool Looking". You have come here, excellent first step. We were all first-time (Buyers) owners, at one time, and can help you with some of the pitfalls. Buy what makes you happy, with the idea you would never sell it (Smiles Per Miles). Patrickt said it best, our cars are worth nothing till it comes time to buy or sell it (If ever). As many here said 'These are Toys not investments'. Your homework will pay off.
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01-24-2022, 06:49 AM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Tampa,
Fl
Cobra Make, Engine: BDR #178 United Speed World Special
Posts: 166
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Not Ranked
Once again Alfa hit it. Set what you want to pay and be patient, it’s easy to get lost in the weeds. They are not a savings account or an IRA as some think. They are a hobby, and hobbies cost money.
__________________
Doing and driving what other people dream about!
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01-24-2022, 10:48 AM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Nov 2008
Cobra Make, Engine:
Posts: 403
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Not Ranked
Quote:
Originally Posted by IMLost
Once again Alfa hit it. Set what you want to pay and be patient, it’s easy to get lost in the weeds. They are not a savings account or an IRA as some think. They are a hobby, and hobbies cost money.
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To paraphrase:
They are a savings account or an IRA. (What you tell your spouse/significant other)
They are a hobby, and hobbies cost money(what you tell yourself)
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01-24-2022, 01:39 PM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Las Vegas,
NV
Cobra Make, Engine: Shelby CSX4005LA, Roush 427IR
Posts: 5,584
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Not Ranked
Cobras are the epitome of a "toy car". You can probably count on the fingers of one hand those who drive it as a daily driver. It's a weekend tourer and car show car.
As a toy, I cringe every time I see here someone going into debt to purchase a Cobra or any other weekend toy. There's a difference between getting a loan and leveraging investments because (due to our current money system you can borrow for less than the return on a well managed investment) but actually going into debt is crazy.
__________________
Cheers,
Tony
CSX4005LA
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01-25-2022, 06:27 AM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Tampa,
Fl
Cobra Make, Engine: BDR #178 United Speed World Special
Posts: 166
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Not Ranked
Mr. Healey, I stand corrected!
__________________
Doing and driving what other people dream about!
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01-26-2022, 08:29 AM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Thousand Oaks,
CA
Cobra Make, Engine: Classic Roadster
Posts: 1,367
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Not Ranked
It's more than just a car. The events, cruises, new friendships, experiences are priceless.
If you want to win car shows you get a pretty one. If you want to go to the track pretty gets beat up. Think of it more like a boat...a hole to throw money into. Except when you sell it's a sad day not a happy day.
John
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01-26-2022, 08:32 AM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Thousand Oaks,
CA
Cobra Make, Engine: Classic Roadster
Posts: 1,367
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Not Ranked
It's more than just a car. The events, cruises, new friendships, experiences are priceless.
If you want to win car shows you get a pretty one. If you want to go to the track pretty gets beat up. Think of it more like a boat...a hole to throw money into. Except when you sell it's a sad day not a happy day.
John
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01-27-2022, 06:28 AM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Dec 2017
Location: Harrison,
AR
Cobra Make, Engine: BDR, 418
Posts: 175
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Not Ranked
Trovit ???
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom Wells
Maraud,
Correct, don't believe what you read on Trovit....
Possibly what you may not be aware of is that trovit is a site that contains highly questionable information.
Tom
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Correct, don't believe what you read on Trovit...
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01-28-2022, 12:03 PM
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CC Member
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Join Date: Jul 2020
Cobra Make, Engine: Backdraft RT3, Roush 427R
Posts: 14
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Not Ranked
Quote:
Originally Posted by Marauderfh
What am I missing on these trovit cars?
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Sounds like a scam to me.
When a roller comes from the factory for $53k I don't think it's far-fetched to ask $75-80k.
Some of these people are too much with the this-vs-that BS between manufacturers. Fudds aren't only in the 2A community apparently.
Go find one that you like and drive the piss out of it.
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