David Kirkham May Think About Challenging Senator Hatch

[BMK]

Mmmm campaign Kirkhams - Senator Edition..

[olddog]

If my unreliable internet search is correct, there is less than 100,000 people living in Utah.

Maybe 80,000 adults. Maybe half of them actually vote. Of the voters 1/3 are going to vote for the other party regardless of who runs. So just how many people does a candidate actually need to talk too?

Around 30,000 households?

You could mail every household in the state for around $15,000.

How hard could it be to talk to almost everyone in the whole state? After all there is about a year to do it in.

I see it as very possible to run a campaign on very little money, if you invest all your time.

[FIA Mike]

Olddog,

The 2010 census (Utah QuickFacts from the US Census Bureau) shows the population of Utah to be 2,763,885. Of which ~69% are 18 years old or older. So there are ~1,900,000 voting age people in Utah. Assuming 50% are registered (might be higher in Utah) that would mean David would need to reach ~850,000 registered voters. However, since there is no way to tell just which 850,000 of the 1.9 million are registered, he would need to reach out to all 1.9 million. Assuming 4 persons per household (remember you are in Utah) that would mean he'd need to send flyers to 475,000 households. Cost per flyer (postage and flyer itself) of even $1 would mean he'd need $500,000 just for one mailer.
There are 32,676 members on Club Cobra. If ½ of those sent David $100 he’d still only have $150,000. So his task is a BIG one. But one that I’m willing to support

David, Should you decide to run let me know where to send my $100.

FIA Mike

[olddog]

Thanks FIA Mike. I thought the number I had sounded too low, which is why I prefaced it with unreliable internet search.

So, it is 30 times bigger than what I wrote. Certainly a bigger task, but considering the other 49 states, Utah would be easier than most. I do think most people see it as a bigger task than it is, if they live in a more populated state.

For some time now I have concluded that winning a House seat would not be nearly as hard as people think it is. You only have to cover a few counties. Obviously a Senate seat would be much harder, because it is state wide. However a low population State would help, especially if the population tends to be clustered in a relatively low number of Cities.

You only have to listen to some of these people that get elected to realize that a total idiot can get elected, and re-elected.