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  #41 (permalink)  
Old 10-14-2011, 04:30 PM
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So Jay,
What is the call? I need to know ASAP, the present plan is to go to work for 3am and stay until 8am. If the run gets postponed an hour I can go to bed later or canceled until Sunday, then I can go in for my normal time.
Bottom line is, if the run is going to run as scheduled, I need to go to sleep in one hour!
So leader of the run...what is the call...LOL
Dave
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  #42 (permalink)  
Old 10-14-2011, 04:47 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cashburn View Post
Here is the current dilemna... based on the 3 different forecasts I am looking at for 3 points of the drive (North Haven, CT / Danbury, CT / Newburgh, NY) the consensus is that we have a chance of rain (10 - 30% depending on the site) in the morning and then around 1pm the region jumps to nearly 40% chance in NY.

If we change to Sunday we will gain some people but lose some others... Sunday 0% chance of rain.
according to NOAA the chance of precip goes down to 5% after 12:00 am.

Hourly Weather Forecast for 41.51N 74.02W

If we push back a little, the winds should dry up the roads nicely.

Im going out to the garage and make sure everything is tight and ready to roll, ill check back in shortly to see what you think.
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  #43 (permalink)  
Old 10-14-2011, 05:00 PM
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News 8 said no rain tomorrow!
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  #44 (permalink)  
Old 10-14-2011, 05:02 PM
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I'm not on face book so if the plan changes for Sunday could someone post it here thanks
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Old 10-14-2011, 05:07 PM
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I'm not on face book so if the plan changes for Sunday could someone post it here thanks
DITTO, Same here!
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Old 10-14-2011, 05:11 PM
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So, what's the plan?
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Old 10-14-2011, 05:20 PM
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No update on Facebook as of now. I'll check again later.
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Old 10-14-2011, 05:34 PM
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Guys if you look at the forecast for CT there is very small chance of rain, when you look at Newburgh there is a potential front that is probably going to bring some rain. I've emailed a few of you and the concept of any rain has people saying move it to Sunday which I really do not want to do.

I've been on the phone with a customer for the last 1.5 hour and I am just getting back here. I will make one more scan of the forecasts and roll the dice in 15 minutes before I leave.

Thanks for patience.

Also I will post here first and then Facebook, so this is THE PLACE for the most up to date. Don't worry...
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Old 10-14-2011, 05:39 PM
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Okay boys, 7:38pm update. Checked weather.com for North Haven, Danbury and Newburgh, NY. Sat 30% precipitation, Sun 10% precipitation. Either is fine with me. Game time decision!
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Old 10-14-2011, 05:43 PM
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NORTH HAVEN FORECAST:

Time Conditions Sky Cover Chance of Precip. Heat Index Wind Chill Wind Dew Point Relative Humidity
Saturday, October 15, 2011

Lo: 49° F
Hi: 72° F

8 am Partly Cloudy 54° F 31% 50% 54° F From WSW 15 mph 47° F 77%
9 am Mostly Sunny 53° F 24% 50% 53° F From WSW 15 mph 46° F 77%
10 am Mostly Sunny 53° F 16% 50% 53° F From WSW 15 mph 45° F 74%
11 am Mostly Sunny 52° F 9% 50% 52° F From WSW 14 mph 45° F 77%
12 pm Clear 52° F 1% 50% 52° F From WSW 14 mph 44° F 74%
1 pm Clear 55° F 11% 7% 55° F From WSW 15 mph 43° F 64%
2 pm Clear 57° F 20% 7% 57° F From SW 16 mph 43° F 60%
3 pm Mostly Sunny 60° F 30% 7% 60° F From SW 17 mph 42° F 52%
4 pm Mostly Sunny 61° F 39% 7% 61° F From SW 18 mph 41° F 48%

DANBURY FORECAST:

Time Conditions Sky Cover Chance of Precip. Heat Index Wind Chill Wind Dew Point Relative Humidity
Saturday, October 15, 2011

Lo: 48° F
Hi: 71° F

8 am Partly Cloudy 52° F 40% 46% 52° F From WSW 13 mph 46° F 80%
9 am Partly Cloudy 51° F 35% 46% 51° F From WSW 13 mph 45° F 80%
10 am Partly Cloudy 51° F 30% 46% 51° F From WSW 13 mph 44° F 77%
11 am Partly Cloudy 50° F 25% 46% 50° F From SW 12 mph 44° F 80%
12 pm Mostly Sunny 50° F 20% 46% 50° F From SW 12 mph 43° F 77%
1 pm Mostly Sunny 52° F 29% 9% 52° F From SW 13 mph 43° F 72%
2 pm Mostly Sunny 55° F 39% 9% 55° F From SW 15 mph 42° F 62%
3 pm Partly Cloudy 57° F 48% 9% 57° F From SW 16 mph 42° F 57%
4 pm Partly Cloudy 58° F 57% 9% 58° F From SW 17 mph 42° F 55%

NEWBURGH, NY FORECAST:

Updated: 5:00 PM Friday, October 14, 2011 Digital Forecast by Weatherbug
Time Conditions Sky Cover Chance of Precip. Heat Index Wind Chill Wind Dew Point Relative Humidity
Saturday, October 15, 2011

Lo: 49° F
Hi: 61° F

8 am Partly Cloudy 49° F 51% 51% 44° F From SW 11 mph 43° F 80%
9 am Partly Cloudy 51° F 56% 14% 51° F From SW 13 mph 43° F 74%
10 am Partly Cloudy 54° F 62% 14% 54° F From SW 15 mph 43° F 67%
11 am Partly Cloudy 56° F 67% 14% 56° F From SW 17 mph 43° F 62%
12 pm Partly Cloudy 58° F 73% 14% 58° F From SW 17 mph 43° F 58%
1 pm Partly Cloudy 59° F 78% 14% 59° F From SW 16 mph 43° F 56%
2 pm Mostly Cloudy 61° F 84% 14% 61° F From SW 16 mph 43° F 52%
3 pm Mostly Cloudy 61° F 87% 14% 61° F From SW 16 mph 43° F 52%
4 pm Mostly Cloudy 60° F 90% 14% 60° F From SW 17 mph 42° F 52%
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  #51 (permalink)  
Old 10-14-2011, 05:49 PM
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POSTPONED TO SUNDAY OCTOBER 16TH

I am going to kick myself tomorrow when it does not rain, but we are going to have drier roads, lower wind, and no rain on Sunday.

Sorry for the indecision, trying to get it right for as many people as possible. Please pass the info along to other channels you may be on (ffcars, etc.)
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Old 10-14-2011, 06:01 PM
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like i said murphy's law.......see you Sunday

Last edited by emm427; 10-14-2011 at 06:05 PM..
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Old 10-14-2011, 06:11 PM
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Sunday's the day. I'll see you in North Haven @ 8:30/8:45am. Can't wait!
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Old 10-14-2011, 06:15 PM
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Kid has a soccer game sunday. Enjoy fellas, be safe!
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Old 10-15-2011, 03:36 AM
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See you all at the Danbury Mall at 10am...hopefully most of us can make it, the weather should be great!!!
Jay, this was a hard one to call, but I think you made the correct decision considering all the circumstances. I am just happy that this weekend was flexible enough for me that either day was OK.
Good Job, and hope we have a great run!
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Old 10-15-2011, 02:31 PM
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Route turn list if you want to print and carry:

I-84 W
EXIT 19
RIGHT ONTO 312 W
RIGHT ONTO US-6 W
SLIGHT RIGHT AT LIGHT ONTO 52 N
LEFT AT LIGHT COLD SPRING 18 / 301 W
STAY ON 301 / 47 UNTIL END AT LIGHT
LEFT ONTO 9D S
STAY ON 9D UNTIL BEAR MOUNTAIN BRIDGE
1ST EXIT AT TRAFFIC CIRCLE ONTO US-9W N
CROSS BRIDGE AND FORT MONTGOMERY ON RIGHT
RIGHT ONTO US-9W N
SIGN FOR 293 218
RIGHT ONTO 218 N
STAY ON 218 N
RIGHT ONTO US-9W N
SLIGHT RIGHT ONTO OLD ROUTE 9W
BECOMES RIVER ROAD / WATER STREET / LEROY PLACE
LEFT ONTO NORTH ST BECOMES NORTH PLANK RD
GAS STOP AT INTERSECTION
I-84 EAST
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Old 10-15-2011, 04:52 PM
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Well today in the Hudson Valley (Saturday) it was cold, mostly cloudy and it DID rain... Sooo GOOD CHOICE JAY!!! See you guys tomorrow. Right at 301 in Carmel.

Green Cobra

Dennis
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Old 10-15-2011, 05:54 PM
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Quote:
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Kid has a soccer game sunday. Enjoy fellas, be safe!
My son's game is at 1:30 in Newburgh..... How perfect is that? Im in
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Old 10-15-2011, 07:33 PM
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Quote:
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My son's game is at 1:30 in Newburgh..... How perfect is that? Im in
Great! See you tomorrow.
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Old 10-15-2011, 07:34 PM
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Well today in the Hudson Valley (Saturday) it was cold, mostly cloudy and it DID rain... Sooo GOOD CHOICE JAY!!! See you guys tomorrow. Right at 301 in Carmel.

Green Cobra

Dennis
At least it was partially right. Make it count tomorrow...
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